Reports that dozens of South Florida condominium and hotel buildings are “sinking” have attracted considerable attention. The underlying research is real, but the word sinking can make the findings sound more alarming than they necessarily are.
A 2024 scientific study examined land and building movement along the barrier islands from Sunny Isles Beach south toward Miami Beach. Using satellite radar measurements collected between 2016 and 2023, researchers identified measurable subsidence at 35 coastal buildings and their surrounding areas.
The findings deserve attention, particularly for condominium owners, buyers and boards. But they also deserve context.
What did the study actually find?
The research was conducted by scientists and engineers from the University of Miami and several other institutions and was published in the peer-reviewed journal Earth and Space Science.
Researchers used a technology known as Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar, or InSAR, which compares radar observations taken from satellites over time. This allows researchers to detect very small changes in the elevation or position of the ground and structures.
Across the study area, the researchers documented vertical displacement generally ranging from approximately 2 to 8 centimeters between 2016 and 2023. The greatest concentration of measured subsidence occurred in Sunny Isles Beach and Surfside.
Among the buildings discussed in the study were properties in Sunny Isles Beach including Jade Ocean, Jade Beach, Jade Signature, Ocean Four, Mansions at Acqualina, Chateau Beach Residences, Trump Tower III, Ritz-Carlton Residences and others. The study also identified movement at several properties farther south in Bal Harbour and Surfside.
Those measurements do not, by themselves, mean that a building is structurally unsafe.
Subsidence describes downward movement or settlement. Buildings, foundations and the ground beneath them can move for a variety of reasons, and understanding whether that movement has structural significance requires engineering analysis beyond a satellite measurement.
Why might these buildings be settling?
One of the most interesting findings of the study was the apparent relationship between construction activity and subsidence.
Many of the affected buildings were relatively new. At a number of those properties, the rate of subsidence decreased over time, which the researchers said was consistent with settlement associated with construction. At some older buildings, movement appeared to begin or accelerate around the time major construction occurred nearby.
The geology beneath South Florida is also important.
The researchers described layers of sand within the limestone beneath portions of the barrier islands. Their analysis suggests that the tremendous loads created by large buildings may cause prolonged compression, or creep, within those sandy layers. Nearby construction may also affect those conditions.
In other words, a more accurate description may sometimes be settlement associated with construction and local geology, rather than simply saying a building is “sinking.”
Is this another Surfside?
There is an understandable tendency to connect any discussion of condominium movement with the 2021 collapse of Champlain Towers South in Surfside.
The study specifically examined that question.
The researchers reported that they did not find evidence of precursory displacement at Champlain Towers South before the collapse, although they cautioned that the satellite observations were inconclusive for the section of the structure where the collapse began because that portion could not be adequately imaged from space.
That is an important distinction.
The subsidence identified in this research should not automatically be interpreted as evidence that the affected buildings face the type of structural failure that occurred at Champlain Towers South.
Why the findings still matter
The absence of evidence of an immediate structural emergency does not make the study unimportant.
For condominium owners and boards, the research illustrates why long-term building information matters. A condominium is not simply an individual apartment. It is part of a complex physical structure sitting on a particular foundation and geological environment.
Owners and prospective buyers may increasingly want to understand questions such as:
- Has the building experienced measurable settlement?
- Has the association retained structural or geotechnical engineers to evaluate it?
- Is movement continuing, slowing or stable?
- Are there cracks or other physical conditions being monitored?
- Has nearby construction affected the property?
- What do recent structural inspections say?
- Has the association established an appropriate monitoring program?
The answers will be different for every building.
A satellite study can identify movement. It cannot substitute for a structural engineer evaluating the building itself.
Movement over time may be more important than a single measurement
One particularly useful aspect of the University of Miami-led research is that it examines movement over several years rather than treating subsidence as a single event.
At many newer buildings, the researchers observed settlement that diminished with time. Other buildings showed more persistent movement.
That difference matters.
From a building-intelligence perspective, the most useful question may not simply be:
“Has this building moved?”
It may be:
“How has this building moved over time, and what do qualified engineers believe is causing it?”
That is a much more informative question for owners and prospective buyers.
What should buyers and owners do with this information?
The study should probably be viewed as another data point, not as a verdict on any particular condominium.
If a building appears in the research, owners and prospective buyers can ask whether the condominium association is aware of the findings and whether engineers have evaluated them.
For a buyer performing due diligence, relevant documents might include recent structural inspection reports, engineering studies, board minutes discussing structural issues, reserve studies and records of major nearby construction.
The presence of a building in a satellite subsidence study should not automatically disqualify it as a place to live or invest.
But it is reasonable information to understand.
Read the research yourself
Rather than relying only on headlines or summaries, readers can review the underlying peer-reviewed study directly:
The larger lesson
South Florida condominium buildings are complicated assets.
Sales prices and ocean views are easy to see. Foundation conditions, structural maintenance, reserves, insurance, engineering history and long-term building performance are much harder to understand.
Research such as this should not be used to frighten condominium owners.
It should be used to ask better questions.
For buyers, owners, boards and real estate professionals, understanding how a building is performing over time is increasingly becoming part of understanding what that condominium is really worth.
